Who's afraid of the post "Extreme Supermoon" 2011?

Many people have recently been talking about the super moon and how it was suppose to wreak havoc by triggering unnatural disasters around the globe.

I didn’t get to really observe the moon last March 19 (or March 20 for that matter). But one evening last weekend, I did see the moon quite magnificently clear, considering it has been cloudy for the past few days over the Philippine skies.

Remembering this beautiful scene, I stayed up last March 21 to take some pictures and catch a glimpse of the so-called ‘supermoon’ at least near its great closeness to the earth.

What is a supermoon? I learned the term was coined by a “certified professional astrologer”, Richard Noelle based in Arizona, USA in an article he wrote over 30 years ago.

Noelle describes a ‘supermoon’ as:

“…a new or full moon which occurs with the Moon at or near (within 90% of) its closest approach to Earth in a given orbit. In short, Earth, Moon and Sun are all in a line, with Moon in its nearest approach to Earth. At any new or full moon, Earth and Moon and Sun are all in a line: Earth is in the middle in the full moon alignment, while the new moon happens with Moon in the middle. This coming together in an alignment is technically termed a syzygy. Sometimes - from a few times to a half-dozen times in a given year - these alignments also happen when the Moon is in its perigee, or closest approach to Earth. Astronomers call this very special alignment a perigee-syzygy. I call it a SuperMoon – which is a whole lot easier on the tongue.” (His latest print article on the subject appeared in the October-November 2007 issue of the Mountain Astrologer)

Apparently, some media reports have it completely wrong when they say that the last supermoon occurred some 18 years ago. On the contrary, there are (on the average) around 4 to 6 supermoon occurrences in a year. The March 19, 2011 is the closest supermoon of the year (2^nd supermoon this year) but not by any means neither the first one in 18 years nor the first extreme supermoon during the same period. According to Noelle, the previous extreme supermoon happened only last January 30, 2010.

Still, the supposed connection of the Moon with both oceanic and crustal tides has in turn led to assertions that the supermoon phenomenon may be correlated with amplified risk of events such as earthquakes and volcanic eruptions. Nonetheless, the so-called evidence of such association is widely viewed to be unpersuasive.

According to Noelle, he believes that within three days before and three days after a supermoon, the Earth is more exposed to natural disasters such as extreme coastal tides, severe storms, volcanic eruptions and strong earthquakes.

He further states that Supermoon solar eclipses tend to have “a wider sphere of impact” stretching about a week before and after the exact syzygy. If that is the case, it then tends to imply a causal relationship with powerful natural disasters such as the Tōhoku earthquake of 2011 and the Indian Ocean earthquake and tsunami of 2004.

Some Dates to Ponder: Causation or Coincidence?

Hurricane and tidal surge that struck Galveston, Texas (September 8, 1900)

Supermoon (September 8, 1900)

Ashgabat, Turkmenistan 7.3 Richter scale earthquake (October 6, 1948 – within three days of a supermoon, allowing for time zones)

Mount Pinatubo eruption (June 16, 1991 – within three days of a supermoon)

Supermoon (Dec. 31, 2009)

Haiti 7.0 Richter scale earthquake (Jan. 12, 2010)

Extreme Supermoon (Jan. 30, 2010)

Christchurch earthquake (Feb. 22, 2011)

Supermoon (Feb. 22, 2011)

Hawke’s Bay earthquake (Feb. 3, 1931)

Supermoon (Feb. 3, 1931)

For this March supermoon Noelle predicted "a surge in extreme tides along the coasts, a rash of moderate-to-severe seismic activity (including Richter 5+ earthquakes, tsunami and volcanic eruptions), and most especially in this case a dramatic spike in powerful storms with heavy precipitation, damaging winds and extreme electrical activity. Floods are a big part of the picture in this case, although some of these will be dry electrical storms that spark fast-spreading wildfires."

By God’s grace, the only “major disaster” my family experienced that weekend was when our electric stove conked out that Sunday forcing me to immediately buy a new one. I didn’t hear of any major natural catastrophe anywhere in the world, days after the 19^th or the 20^th. Noelle though mentioned lately of wildfires in Colorado last March 22 after the occurrence of storms in the area.

Some studies (which include articles from the Berkeley Seismological laboratory and the U.S. Geological Survey) have reportedly seen a weak correlation between lunar activity and shallow, very low intensity earthquakes. On the other hand, no evidence has been gathered to establish any correlation with major earthquakes. [It has been cited that the Tōhoku earthquake and tsunami (2011) is the only earthquake of 8.0 magnitude or greater to have occurred within 2 weeks of the 14 extreme supermoons from 1900 to the present date]

Already regretful of missing to observe the supermoon of March 19/20. I promised myself to take some time and document my early post-supermoon observation.

For more than an hour, I gazed at the moon between the final minutes of the 20^th to the early hours of the 21^st. Quite literally, it was a pain in the neck! There I was at our home’s driveway, trying to take decent pictures of the moon with my humble 10 mega pixel digital camera which hid behind a large mass of cumulus clouds. I thought I would never get a good picture of the moon but as the first minutes of the 21^st came to pass, the moon eventually came out and gave me some spectacular shots to share in this blog.

I took this picture of the supermoon at exactly the start of the midnight hour (12:00 am) of March 21

Overcast skies continued to cover the supermoon (picture taken at 12:01 am)

The moon starts to show some of its brightness

I call this one – triple supermoon

The moon begins to go out of the clouds

Spectacular display of moonlight amidst a field of cotton-like clouds

‘Supernova’ moon

The post supermoon using different camera settings

The red moon

Cloudless bright supermoon

Bright red supermoon rising

‘Dancing’ supermoon

‘Chicken head’ supermoon

So was there a real super threat or just super hype?

Supermoons are here to stay. For their aesthetic brilliance, I wish they do stay the way they are. No more, no less. Let’s hope future scientific studies will finally and convincingly put to rest the fantastic claims of ramblers and soothsayers alike and let the plain truth prevail.

27th Sampung Daliri, Atbp.

After hearing Mass two Sundays ago with Sonny and the family’s helper Maymay, I proceeded to Manila. I ate dinner at Kentucky Fried Chicken - Harrison Plaza before going to the Cultural Center of the Philippines, the usual venue for University of Sto. Tomas Conservatory of Music’s Sampung Mga Daliri, Atbp.

Curiously, the 27^th version of this annual showcase of UST’s musical talents happened on the 27^th of February.

Unlike last year, Odette my wife wasn’t able to come with me to support our eldest son’s participation in the event who sang with the Chorus classes for the second time now as she wasn’t feeling well today.

Like last year, I barely made it to the singing of the national anthem and the concert’s first number, as latecomers were requested not to enter (Ludwig Beethoven’s “Egmont Overture”) while the performers where still playing.

I guess this year’s performance was extra special. As the program went on, it was obvious that the university’s Quadricentennial celebration had played a great influence to the underlying theme for this year’s version, drumming up a deep sense of history, nationalism and school pride.

In this regard, a flurry of traditional melodies flooded our senses with interpretations of “Lulay” by A Molina and Pandangguhan by R. Umali coupled later in the evening with a beautiful Kundiman medley comprised of patriotic songs “Sa Mahal Kong Bayan”, “Ang Aking Bayan”, “Lupang Hinirang” and “Kay Tamis ng Buhay” as conducted by Herminigildo Ranera.

More importantly, a special feature was made on Gerry de Leon’s “Ako’y Isang Tomasino” and a rendition of the original version of the UST Hymn composed by Julio Esteban-Anguita, (the Conservatory’s first Director) came as the concert’s glorious finale.

Interspersed all throughout the program were timeless melodies from operatic, classical, and Broadway favorites. I was quite impressed with the unorthodox performance of 10 young alumni pianists for their take on the grunge band Nirvana’s “Smells Like Teen Spirit” (Contagion). I went on a “graduation” mood listening to the march and dance from G. Verdi’s “Aida”. Earlier, my imagination ran creatively, trying to visualize the animal characters paraded in Saint Saens’ “Carnival of Animals”.

Personally, I thought this year’s concert did not top last year’s grandeur and rich variety of performances. But then again, very few performances to my mind could top a Les Miserables finale. Understandably, each year’s performance will be a harder act to follow. In a sense, Sampung Daliri has made it more and more difficult to outdo itself as the years go by.

Still, it was a wonderful celebration of music, a brief but reinvigorating respite from the hustle and bustle of our regular urban grind. As these musical celebrations do not come as often as we want them, I’m curious what lies ahead for next year’s version.